Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2448a4d87681b18f916ea9fbc91be9a0f053c4906306802fe0ecad509bc26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 50c | 1,320$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.76 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 49c | 1,056$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 45c | 795.62$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.41 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 45c | 509.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…4c9dbacked Yes | 37c | 445.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 364.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 42c | 311.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 46c | 270.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…f102backed Yes | 44c | 242$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 230.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed Yes | 37c | 205.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 202.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 56c | 191.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 36c | 140.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 29c | 129.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…f315backed No | 77c | 119.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 52c | 115.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 42c | 104.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 52c | 104.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 104.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 102.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 96.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 63c | 89.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…17e5backed Yes | 56c | 79.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 43c | 76.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 52c | 76.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 60.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 50c | 57.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 34c | 55.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 56c | 54.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 41c | 46.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 49c | 44.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 27c | 41.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 51c | 40.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…85babacked Yes | 46c | 35.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 74c | 35.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 46c | 25.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51d…4982backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 50c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 217 | 57.6%125 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…cd7dbacked Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.