Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaea09b5cc3e5cab294d655bd28011aae2801048320bd9900c649825912da076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 44c | 25,016$11,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,007.02 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 55c | 21,069$11,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,387.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 56c | 20,405$11,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.07 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 43c | 16,250$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.44 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 43c | 14,233$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 44c | 13,254$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.74 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 56c | 9,708$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 54c | 5,960$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.77 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 4,899$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.82 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 46c | 4,729$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 3,384$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.79 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 2,240$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 2,078$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.7 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,030$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.09 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 57c | 2,010$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,779$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 35c | 1,755$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 1,666$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,594$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.73 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 45c | 1,320$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.05 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,293$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…c10dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 45c | 1,221$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.32 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 55c | 1,103$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.47 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 1,068$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.09 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 21c | 1,054$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 79c | 777.78$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 748.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 737.25$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.21 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 21c | 604.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Yes | 54c | 551.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Yes | 55c | 531.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 478.69$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 472.48$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 43c | 465.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 43c | 407.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 399.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 54c | 391.02$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 381.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 366.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 79c | 330.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed No | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 304.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 45c | 257.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 79c | 238.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 44c | 210$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 51c | 193$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +257.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 36c | 184.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Yes | 55c | 175.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 45c | 172.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 168.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 72c | 148.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 28c | 140.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 56c | 138.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Yes | 55c | 135.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Yes | 53c | 134.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked No | 48c | 131.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Yes | 55c | 131.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 131.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 72c | 131$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 22c | 130.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 58c | 126$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 9c | 125.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 51c | 124.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…4df2backed Yes | 52c | 118.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 55c | 115.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 108.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Yes | 55c | 107.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 35c | 107.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 102.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Yes | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Yes | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Yes | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Yes | 55c | 87.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.