Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b8a2508b5ccafb6b4815c3c66c03439382c9af824a75b6e19bb9b8969c5e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 2,314$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 1,241$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 21c | 1,227$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 760.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 702.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 22c | 679$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 8c | 626.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 22c | 454.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 379.61$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 5c | 316.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 266.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 253.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 76c | 245$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…6779backed Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 21c | 222.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 221.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 78c | 207.18$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 176.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 22c | 114.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 109.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 21c | 76.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 59.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 52.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 32.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 28.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.