Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21341a983df2dae7a9a8536be742fd599c747d9db055e4b69de5cef11536d013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 7,494$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 1,665$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 1,524$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.08 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 1,473$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.38 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…2360backed Yes | 53c | 943.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 783.22$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 772.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 712.12$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 571.94$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 550.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.14 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 542.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 61c | 519.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 17c | 503.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 477.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 80c | 456$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 451.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 280.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 259$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 249.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 73c | 246.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 80c | 232.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 223.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 20c | 217.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 196.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Yes | 26c | 152$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 58c | 129.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 13c | 121.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 22c | 118.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 43c | 115.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 18c | 110.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 21c | 96.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 23c | 83.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 49c | 82.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 14c | 82.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 67.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 40c | 63.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 72c | 63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 72c | 62.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 20c | 60.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 27c | 58.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 48.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 36.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Yes | 51c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed No | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 78c | 28.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 77c | 27.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…7d58backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 16.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-09?No won
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.