TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

BetBoom Team to win 2-0?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3954…22d9backed Yes59c1,382$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.012152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No52c1,380$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.0145139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.21,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No53c867.39$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.658457.1%48 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf8…9d51backed Yes48c750.47$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked No54c527.6$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.927839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008035%28 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Yes47c463.64$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7318351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Yes46c437.18$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1814643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0070…17febacked Yes46c406.66$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.71942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No54c399.99$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1826741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Yes50c332.73$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.379478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No36c324$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1913827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No40c312$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.550032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed No56c254.62$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.831,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No53c249.77$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.153969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked No52c235$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.28842%37 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes46c217.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0735461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10296245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11259254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed No55c199.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9925354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed No54c184.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed No53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.881345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed No50c158.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.742,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No55c150.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7112552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7554659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes47c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.315353.6%82 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Yes47c127.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.899942.4%42 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No53c124$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.11952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No53c122.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes56c112.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.125143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1146664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Yes47c107.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2387645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yes48c104.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9524349%119 W · 124 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0414956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked No22c102$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.442462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Yes53c93.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9233854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No54c89.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2952950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Yes45c86.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6611444.7%51 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed No42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9238547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No56c81.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2530357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed Yes47c74.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9916552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked No52c74.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No20c73.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.569256.5%52 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No55c72.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.415945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2219455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes59c54.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5552046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes46c41.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes61c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4544771.1%318 W · 129 L+27.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089f…dddabacked Yes47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2911363.7%72 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3a…b29abacked Yes47c32.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No34c30.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34910.2%5 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911746.2%54 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes75c25.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2989238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7a…ad96backed Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes79c24.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked No54c23.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.914165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd50…be4bbacked Yes57c20.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.98560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No53c20.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.857651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206e…379ebacked Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…2c0cbacked Yes61c19.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.