Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c20980dcf4168d30ccbf31993f0e2b833ae8a9eed0595cba21afb1f380a0c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 33c | 1,693$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.8 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 58c | 556.74$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.25 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 66c | 338$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 44c | 229.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 60c | 149.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 137.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 45c | 126.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 43c | 119.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 42c | 108.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 65c | 96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…1751backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…f102backed Yes | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 43c | 71.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 80c | 67.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 67.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 53c | 57.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 40c | 51.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 52c | 50.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 44.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…dbfdbacked Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 68c | 30.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…cc1ebacked Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 57c | 27.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 61c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.