Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x883c3809c8e36520a3cfb8f819a5b87e43f761ce7d3635c298c30fdb691a14a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x111c…573abacked Yes | 26c | 375.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…d88cbacked Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 18c | 153.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 62.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 76c | 60.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 74c | 58.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 53.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…c0b2backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 74c | 37.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?this page
- Will PPI YoY be 5.8% or less in June?Yes won
- Will PPI YoY be 5.9% in June?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in June?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 6.1% in June?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in June?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 6.7% or more in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.