Fifa International · resolved market
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5039bb09efbd0029adf2b01fe57c71117d04ba32c85799aa720ad546f48da93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 65c | 4,162$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.84 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…cb75backed Yes | 22c | 3,781$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…1e94backed Yes | 49c | 3,134$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 51c | 2,936$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 49c | 2,849$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.9 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…a839backed Yes | 43c | 2,495$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 72c | 1,465$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.73 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 9c | 1,235$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.5 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 49c | 738.63$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.17 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 576.92$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 540$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 48c | 493$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 370$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 78c | 291$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…b71cbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 58c | 189.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 56c | 169.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 167.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 10c | 156$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 19c | 120.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…7c52backed Yes | 11c | 95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 85.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…462fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 48c | 80.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 74.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 71.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…86abbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…8a22backed Yes | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 80c | 16.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will the third-place match be BEL vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be BEL vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be BEL vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the third-place match be FRA vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.