NBA · resolved market
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4e61e6015587a6761f415e083c2dd58bad04ba4abd5539aa37d2d1ed25abac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 4c | 11,180$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 4c | 2,740$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Yes | 56c | 1,272$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.9 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 13c | 1,259$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 42c | 1,074$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.19 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 747.24$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.01 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 6c | 501.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 482.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…a03bbacked No | 3c | 346.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 4c | 231.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 43c | 229.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 49c | 142.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 111.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…54f5backed Yes | 63c | 110.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 25c | 98.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f82bbacked Yes | 57c | 88.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…eb69backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed No | 20c | 72.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked No | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…4d0abacked Yes | 58c | 51.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 27c | 50.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…cef3backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes | 64c | 48.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…75c7backed Yes | 42c | 47.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 49c | 40.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 39c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…503abacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…16cebacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +347.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…3536backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?this page
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will James Harden win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jason Tatum win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Josh Hart win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Landry Shamet win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.