TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$375,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Rays63c241,455$152,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,099.9516643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics37c115,369$42,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,591.521,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Athletics37c55,000$20,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,65035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Athletics37c50,000$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Athletics37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics61c12,564$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.741,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays35c9,090$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.969,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Rays64c5,792$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.628646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rays62c5,553$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.1460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rays61c5,526$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.4371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays28c5,006$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.122,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rays59c4,500$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics37c4,473$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.2744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics38c4,202$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.291,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics38c3,415$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.12,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rays62c3,383$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0811,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd4…ee9fbacked Rays63c3,357$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics38c3,333$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.4598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Athletics37c3,270$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.427953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Rays50c3,186$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.9115745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Athletics58c3,131$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.0297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rays49c2,643$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.661,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Athletics38c2,414$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.2512339%48 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics36c2,365$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.641,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…4e46backed Athletics38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics76c1,604$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rays30c1,340$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb42d…e428backed Athletics70c1,272$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.622740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Athletics69c1,270$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.536746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Athletics69c1,168$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3653941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays62c1,129$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf143…f5d9backed Rays62c1,097$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Athletics35c1,074$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Athletics37c1,048$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.0614446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rays22c1,030$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d8…5744backed Rays44c951$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.312330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2735…f599backed Rays62c903$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Rays59c848.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays43c848.12$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.294,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Athletics71c768.04$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.443636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Athletics65c727.83$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.65939%23 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Athletics42c713.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.092828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rays60c700$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rays60c583.34$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rays2c581.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.485852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Athletics37c559.96$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7738249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Rays58c558.62$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays37c540.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics39c513.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1617037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics41c501.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5739436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72cf…69aebacked Rays62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Rays30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Athletics67c488.77$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0811357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Athletics37c473.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3114050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Athletics68c464.98$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.069345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rays4c462.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.128762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Athletics65c452.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.425550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Rays62c442.02$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1616552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Rays60c434.95$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9714444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Rays61c428.26$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.735042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays57c403.51$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23028453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…767ebacked Athletics75c359.61$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Athletics66c345.08$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Athletics37c342.89$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0211746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Rays63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Rays63c314.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics37c299.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7124248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Athletics38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1614753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Athletics39c256.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Rays59c255.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506560%39 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Athletics49c222.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Athletics46c215.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.127556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fe…424fbacked Athletics40c212$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rays36c211.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Rays63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12619849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61e…de34backed Athletics78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics37c199.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe341…273bbacked Athletics38c195.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.832343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays37c195.01$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.886,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800f…4cf4backed Athletics40c186$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Rays24c173.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Rays23c172.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.134748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Rays62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rays62c159.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.765,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa47e…be3ebacked Athletics40c154$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rays62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rays20c149$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1342955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics40c141.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2826…e2d7backed Athletics40c135.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics37c135$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3b42backed Athletics39c132.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb377…743cbacked Rays61c132$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfa…bc27backed Athletics40c131.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…e879backed Rays61c123$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Rays35c122.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4324953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.