TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,110,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,278,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,110,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ba6…644cbacked Yes51c1,347,557$687,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660,303.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No49c1,105,553$541,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,721.083240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked No49c336,468$164,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,869.541855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes51c291,910$148,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,035.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No49c287,211$140,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,312.7820157.2%115 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked No48c249,979$119,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,989.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed No50c211,810$106,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,163.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes52c195,436$101,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,956.593537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No32c131,588$42,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,591.2121652.3%113 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ddd…c933backed Yes51c109,620$55,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,713.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c55…4a8cbacked No51c88,320$45,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,043.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-76.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes51c83,000$42,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,670955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No49c70,051$34,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,325.141241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,4003470.6%24 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c59,944$36,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,141.186,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes50c55,355$27,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,794.621580%12 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No49c48,235$23,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,635.21241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes51c40,017$20,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,604.3621947%103 W · 116 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6001650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked No49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,600250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes78c38,925$30,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,644.651,19032.5%387 W · 803 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No31c32,749$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Yes52c30,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,5001050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes71c30,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed Yes52c28,592$14,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,724.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No50c25,271$12,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,737.3932344.3%143 W · 180 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes51c24,500$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No48c23,584$11,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,326.2410439.4%41 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No49c23,268$11,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,401.326650%33 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes60c23,128$13,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,294.251250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No47c22,662$10,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,651.0839048.5%189 W · 201 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes64c22,042$14,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,991.535158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No24c22,000$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3202035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes53c20,540$10,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,653.623053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes50c19,146$9,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,567.543781.1%30 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c18,685$9,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,406.7334739.2%136 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c18,539$9,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,379.618647.7%41 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes46c18,097$8,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,742.178548.2%41 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No52c18,029$9,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,375.2718045.6%82 W · 98 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes49c17,381$8,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,907.124452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked No52c17,000$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,839.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…f2b5backed Yes53c16,298$8,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,660.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed No49c16,000$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes51c15,620$7,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,638.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.9933048.2%159 W · 171 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No29c15,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+44.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c14,314$7,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,291.171,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes69c14,296$9,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.561,01236%364 W · 648 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes71c14,050$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c13,306$6,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,590.352,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c13,167$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.1379236.1%286 W · 506 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No53c12,221$6,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,448.752634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No8c11,244$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.2225044%110 W · 140 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No19c11,164$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.5417436.2%63 W · 111 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes71c10,979$7,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.944450%22 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e53…53aebacked Yes48c10,933$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,685.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No5c10,746$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8920739.6%82 W · 125 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Yes48c10,606$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,515.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No50c10,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25020240.6%82 W · 120 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8005248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9005846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes50c9,923$4,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.338957.3%51 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No6c9,886$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes68c9,651$6,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.171,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes53c9,623$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.6412643.7%55 W · 71 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa43a…aa76backed Yes52c8,801$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.511040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No8c8,786$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No38c8,772$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.528737.9%33 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No49c8,625$4,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.252462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No9c8,476$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9202100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Yes45c7,765$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,265.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9e…936ebacked No53c7,750$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No19c6,866$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.612020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Yes72c6,568$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.07862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c6,047$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.6766040%264 W · 396 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed Yes48c5,873$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes76c5,723$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.132222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes51c5,702$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.193455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes60c5,616$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.17954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed Yes50c5,572$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No30c5,292$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50046236.1%167 W · 295 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45041353.8%222 W · 191 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Yes51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f0…b287backed No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes64c4,986$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.3110541%43 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes70c4,500$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.9415848.1%76 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No53c4,472$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3706051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No50c4,152$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.68550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes67c4,064$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.281,42444.3%631 W · 793 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96010843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.