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Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$534,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$604,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c183,512$47,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,352.361,19032.5%387 W · 803 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No75c111,041$83,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,760.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No74c37,440$27,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,734.368853.4%47 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47b5…8115backed Yes7c29,906$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No73c21,945$16,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,944.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…f2b5backed Yes25c16,920$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed No80c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+417%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x806a…b7dabacked No73c15,000$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed No73c11,250$8,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.995248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed Yes8c7,440$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c7,324$5,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.161,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c6,716$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.438550.6%43 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No78c5,857$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.3721652.3%113 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes21c5,720$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes28c5,025$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8861…8f1abacked No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c4,977$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.131,01236%364 W · 648 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No73c4,773$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.368957.3%51 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No75c4,711$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.752462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c4,485$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.4839532.9%130 W · 265 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No73c4,290$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.8311438.6%44 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes25c3,977$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.0264347.7%307 W · 336 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No74c3,895$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c3,696$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.5266040%264 W · 396 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c3,404$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.1258551.6%302 W · 283 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No79c3,293$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.985964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No80c2,951$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.251,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No73c2,329$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.775745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dab…55dabacked Yes31c2,200$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked No80c2,161$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c2,043$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8974150.9%377 W · 364 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001060%6 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+59.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c1,875$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2515676.9%120 W · 36 L+28.8wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+40.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No79c1,866$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.043863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes21c1,800$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.31728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes23c1,783$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.262222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes19c1,752$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.887749.4%38 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c1,750$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51,30542.4%553 W · 752 L-28.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No73c1,739$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.533542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes26c1,562$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c1,386$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.452,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c1,340$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.524170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked No74c1,340$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed No69c1,059$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.254141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No73c1,012$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6122251.4%114 W · 108 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c1,011$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7885152.9%450 W · 401 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c953.34$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3486648.7%422 W · 444 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26aa…56d4backed Yes25c909.2$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Yes20c899.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Yes12c860.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes10c839$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.042231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a2…9524backed Yes12c764.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4908…7cafbacked Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No76c664.47$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fe…ec7dbacked Yes21c622.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.61070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No74c609.95$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.989745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No75c584.01$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1467458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No80c517$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.44452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes27c500$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13621050%105 W · 105 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa787…2cfabacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid+87.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No79c498.71$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.738737.9%33 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No75c485.33$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.336216.1%10 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960a…2d9bbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed No74c460$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes25c416$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041520%3 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017434.5%60 W · 114 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8c…1b70backed Yes26c386$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Yes18c362.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.751844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222f…a9d5backed Yes24c359.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a39…9315backed No73c342.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes28c337.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.561735.3%6 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick17cpaid+90.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4840…be60backed Yes11c302.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc232…b83cbacked Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+114.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5bc…c93dbacked No80c282.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.533100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes20c281.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3812548.8%61 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No73c276.88$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.763450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No73c272$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.093946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015843.7%69 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes22c261.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0155744.7%249 W · 308 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No76c256$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…14e8backed Yes26c253.85$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick22cpaid+28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed No73c253.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.421637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51,08045.2%488 W · 592 L-19.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebec…3785backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes13c238.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed Yes20c238.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes21c234$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc611…cc2ebacked Yes23c233.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes26c230.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607623.7%18 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No70c225.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6620739.6%82 W · 125 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.