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La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$938,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$940,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes41c410,079$167,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,741.783641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes41c100,000$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,999.981729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c96,001$66,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,295.664,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No59c90,000$53,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,9002853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaeb…e98ebacked Yes39c68,443$26,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,568.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No59c62,649$37,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,411.275855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No59c49,000$28,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0901136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c41,138$24,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,737.281,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No59c38,000$22,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,5801338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed No60c33,333$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,333.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes28c30,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,25018050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No59c25,350$15,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,282.273154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes28c22,500$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.5511035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No59c22,000$12,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0203655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No60c20,194$12,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,009.371656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0008651.2%44 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c18,996$12,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,905.9417451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes39c17,489$6,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,820.863522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No59c16,959$10,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.3251048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c15,642$11,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.951,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c14,422$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.752,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No59c13,211$7,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No60c12,000$7,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7903542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No59c11,850$7,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,812.47153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No59c11,444$6,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.011844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes41c10,000$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.782951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed No59c9,797$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c8,045$5,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.243,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No59c7,069$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.63336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Yes41c6,822$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c6,571$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.0292443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes1c6,250$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No60c6,202$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.756051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes37c5,410$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.642560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes40c5,392$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.3533531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c5,312$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.2872455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked No60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9410345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No59c4,960$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…0a5fbacked No59c4,800$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes40c4,750$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed No59c4,691$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No60c4,095$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.2911656%65 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56012053.3%64 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c3,878$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.4474350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed No63c3,168$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No61c3,136$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.046159%36 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…88c8backed Yes30c3,135$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2302835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No60c2,996$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.49729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c2,400$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.8247749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010744.9%48 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8202347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c2,000$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.6652152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No59c1,960$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c1,933$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3767839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No59c1,815$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.143930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes34c1,793$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102516%4 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.911957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed No60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No60c1,621$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.6919847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes8c1,544$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.531717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No79c1,460$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.518046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No67c1,313$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.341050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes40c1,282$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.61166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick26cpaid-89.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed No59c1,240$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Yes20c1,225$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes27c1,225$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.071957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c1,203$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39711234.8%39 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46810958.7%64 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No73c1,195$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6818661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5422644.7%101 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c1,132$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6586250.2%433 W · 429 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No70c1,108$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.5630759%181 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No60c1,070$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.026241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No60c1,059$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.231,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c1,020$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7374949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41010661.3%65 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2a…8687backed No59c992$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No67c943.42$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d6…c4adbacked No59c920$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes40c912.5$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes30c896.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8418839.9%75 W · 113 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa457…a061backed No60c896$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.41560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c859.44$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6436434.9%127 W · 237 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127759.7%46 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No60c762.57$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.0311539.1%45 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked No61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x577e…d876backed Yes24c699.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes18c659.95$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7932635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No59c608.82$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.523748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.