Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd74936ef2e90806ad27332b62ac6cdb1f9d76daab2165cd8984f80286e7b2887

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $500,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $372,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,880 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	64,665$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.21	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	0c	25,984$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.98	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	2c	15,416$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.1	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	12,590$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.74	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	11,067$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.94	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	10,045$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.59	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	6c	7,911$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.53	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	7,627$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.51	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	1c	7,172$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.35	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Yes	3c	7,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	6c	5,176$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.44	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	5c	5,168$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.88	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	5c	4,537$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.46	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	4,352$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.77	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	18c	4,275$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.92	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	4,163$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,100$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.66	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	4,074$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.85	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	6c	3,985$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.3	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes	3c	3,696$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.71	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	3,644$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.28	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	2c	2,962$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.01	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	3c	2,885$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	2,839$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.53	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	7c	2,803$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.42	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	9c	2,501$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.01	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	2,482$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.82	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Yes	2c	2,479$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	259	44.4%115 W · 144 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b0…ef31backed Yes	5c	2,442$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	7c	2,407$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.4	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	2c	2,336$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.18	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	2c	2,261$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.98	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,223$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	3c	2,143$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da8…4dd2backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	6cpaid	+452.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	2,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	2,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f3…42eabacked Yes	3c	1,934$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,900$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	1,899$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	3c	1,750$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.75	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	1,750$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d39…b8c6backed Yes	5c	1,703$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.89	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	28cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	1,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	1,597$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.65	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	6c	1,587$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.39	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308a…eed3backed Yes	1c	1,554$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	2c	1,536$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	9c	1,500$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,405$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	1,344$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	8c	1,329$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	1,275$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,268$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.26	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x288c…3318backed Yes	4c	1,243$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	3c	1,201$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	1,093$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	1,029$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	2c	1,016$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d48…6573backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	999.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	4c	999.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.09	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	2c	999.95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	13c	999.6$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.11	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f72…664abacked Yes	7c	997.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Yes	7c	991.24$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes	6c	979.43$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+196.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e54…8347backed Yes	6c	979.42$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb260…715abacked Yes	4c	941.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.11	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…bafebacked Yes	3c	920.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	7c	884.61$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.95	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	800.69$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.13	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	212	33%70 W · 142 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	2c	799.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	735.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	7c	696.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	5c	684.89$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	2c	683.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d27…cf39backed Yes	5c	630.06$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6172…bb67backed Yes	5c	624.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.97	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed Yes	9c	622.56$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	7c	614.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	515.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x254f…cf10backed Yes	11c	500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	6c	492.73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1144…b87cbacked Yes	4c	449.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…57d2backed Yes	7c	411.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Yes	5c	400$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes	5c	399.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	161	19.9%32 W · 129 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…657bbacked Yes	3c	395.57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…f613backed Yes	9c	379.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.82	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a80…729cbacked Yes	8c	355.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+38%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	9c	340.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.22	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e41…9054backed Yes	7c	337.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba60…460abacked Yes	3c	329.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event