F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac554411732117377766ba441cc89657cf45a9f83a81e7a6a2f6cd1e17c1640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 21c | 4,813$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.73 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 77c | 2,474$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4073backed No | 22c | 1,044$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.52 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 78c | 755.14$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 17c | 672.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.97 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 22c | 630$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 19c | 503.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.87 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 80c | 422.12$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 20c | 375.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 77c | 350.48$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 17c | 339.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 36c | 321.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 263.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Yes | 78c | 256.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 21c | 200.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…d918backed Yes | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked No | 20c | 155.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 77c | 149.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 17c | 146.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed No | 28c | 125.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…9f04backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…57aabacked Yes | 77c | 116.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4a82backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…5cb9backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…46c5backed Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 77c | 92.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 20c | 85.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 25c | 79.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 78.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 55c | 77.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 66.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…b39cbacked Yes | 80c | 65.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 76c | 63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…12b9backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 64c | 59.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f9…0644backed No | 19c | 58.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 19c | 54.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed No | 55c | 53.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…a7eebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 73c | 47.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…476dbacked Yes | 77c | 31.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 67c | 30.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Yes | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Yes | 78c | 23.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 78c | 20.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…f31cbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…1644backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…634dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda41…497abacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…1173backed Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…c7bdbacked Yes | 79c | 16.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…44f4backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.