MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02d8bf12db0986db29f9c1968b3b9544c2b20cb163ff894cb15d887b70e9315a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Red Sox, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Red Sox | 36c | 11,925$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Red Sox | 32c | 10,308$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.61 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 64c | 10,020$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 43c | 8,381$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.68 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 37c | 6,449$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.91 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Tigers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Tigers | 63c | 4,748$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.53 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 35c | 4,266$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 63c | 4,003$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.63 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 31c | 3,767$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Tigers | 67c | 3,586$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.32 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 31c | 3,346$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 30c | 2,234$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…db80backed Red Sox | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…d69cbacked Red Sox | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…5c9bbacked Red Sox | 33c | 1,950$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…2a73backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…9470backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Tigers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,477$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 35c | 1,398$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 66c | 1,271$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.1 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6bdebacked Tigers | 67c | 1,075$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 30c | 1,064$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Tigers | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…f77abacked Tigers | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…e2b5backed Tigers | 67c | 1,025$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Red Sox | 45c | 978.33$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…4e46backed Tigers | 67c | 955$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…1219backed Tigers | 67c | 952$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…7cdbbacked Tigers | 67c | 934$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…d17bbacked Tigers | 67c | 905$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Tigers | 67c | 866$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…6f54backed Tigers | 67c | 848$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox | 30c | 796.21$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.86 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Red Sox | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 64c | 694$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox | 18c | 676.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Tigers | 67c | 658.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Red Sox | 32c | 626$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 15c | 547.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 34c | 475.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Tigers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Red Sox | 40c | 374.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers | 53c | 247.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 54c | 227.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…e7efbacked Tigers | 50c | 200.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…42cbbacked Red Sox | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Tigers | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Red Sox | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 73c | 132.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Red Sox | 8c | 129.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Red Sox | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 35c | 98.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Tigers | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebd…93afbacked Tigers | 70c | 84.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2820…f572backed Red Sox | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Red Sox | 35c | 81.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,057 | 50.4%533 W · 524 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 38c | 69.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…4050backed Red Sox | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Tigers | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Red Sox | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Tigers | 70c | 56.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 67c | 55.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Red Sox | 32c | 54.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…a0c7backed Red Sox | 34c | 52.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Red Sox | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tigers | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…4e34backed Red Sox | 33c | 48.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…4ba2backed Red Sox | 34c | 47.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Red Sox | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Red Sox | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…88bfbacked Red Sox | 34c | 44.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…b890backed Red Sox | 34c | 43.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Red Sox | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe03…b864backed Tigers | 67c | 36.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed Tigers | 67c | 32.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Red Sox | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Red Sox | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…23f5backed Tigers | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…3c3bbacked Red Sox | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.