MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7abfa2e1a7a4ec5578657dbff6bf9a4c09f15437a424881b4e518171200061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 40c | 675.55$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.53 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed SSG Landers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed KT Wiz | 51c | 259.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 17c | 249.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 20c | 238$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 76c | 235.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 75c | 207.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed SSG Landers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed KT Wiz | 53c | 187$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked SSG Landers | 48c | 153.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked SSG Landers | 73c | 137.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 46c | 105.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SSG Landers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 96.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed KT Wiz | 38c | 77.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 57c | 70.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed KT Wiz | 53c | 65.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked SSG Landers | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SSG Landers | 57c | 57.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed SSG Landers | 47c | 40.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked SSG Landers | 66c | 35.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 74c | 34.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 50c | 31.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…4de6backed KT Wiz | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…e690backed SSG Landers | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SSG Landers | 45c | 22.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…7a46backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…3f98backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3624…9a2ebacked SSG Landers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…0a40backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KT Wiz | 62c | 21.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…5f66backed SSG Landers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.