TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d01…5f66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$20.2
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.