NBA · resolved market
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e26dbf02b13dde18ee72dcf997ee973da9b15007bae6bfdaf8925c4e570a781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 8c | 2,543$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 6c | 1,537$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 5c | 676$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Yes | 12c | 627.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 4c | 575$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 15c | 451.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 4c | 417.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 10c | 395.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 370.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 353$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 12c | 292.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 8c | 276.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 8c | 236$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 15c | 209.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 203.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 8c | 152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 72.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 16c | 70.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?this page
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Bennett Stirtz be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes won
- Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Darryn Peterson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Hannes Steinbach be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Yaxel Lendeborg be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.