WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs. Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1d82bd62f0493bd24015d9ec356c2d44d03b615de0a06ea9affb9a013e4d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 23c | 4,050$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mystics | 23c | 3,337$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.43 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Storm | 77c | 2,774$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 77c | 2,253$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Mystics | 21c | 1,870$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Storm | 79c | 1,870$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Storm | 77c | 1,632$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.27 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 29c | 1,101$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.13 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Mystics | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Storm | 76c | 976.79$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mystics | 25c | 857.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Mystics | 24c | 745.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Storm | 75c | 668$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Mystics | 24c | 518$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Storm | 79c | 479.33$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 24c | 422.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mystics | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Storm | 78c | 380$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Storm | 75c | 260.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mystics | 23c | 219.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Storm | 46c | 217.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 22c | 199.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Storm | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Storm | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 58c | 130.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Storm | 78c | 125.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mystics | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Storm | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 65c | 95.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Mystics | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Storm | 77c | 89.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Mystics | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Storm | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Storm | 77c | 82.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Storm | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Mystics | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Storm | 75c | 52.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mystics | 21c | 51.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Storm | 59c | 42.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Storm | 77c | 36.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Storm | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.