MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17cb7366f89e597d4c942b07adc761682a2834fd87f024ece2103d500f1fdca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kia Tigers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 1,816$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.14 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 27c | 1,362$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.25 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 1,127$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 790.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.01 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 731.86$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 32c | 696.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Kia Tigers | 37c | 499.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 456$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 36c | 440.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 68c | 415.81$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 74c | 407$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 355.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 349.04$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 303.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 302.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 35c | 289$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 201.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kia Tigers | 20c | 176.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 175.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 33c | 158.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 156.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 156.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kia Tigers | 27c | 119.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 116.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 92.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kia Tigers | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked Kia Tigers | 35c | 77.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 55.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Samsung Lions | 74c | 54.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Kia Tigers | 36c | 49.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 48.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Kia Tigers | 29c | 43.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 35c | 39.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 34.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…8729backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.