Middle East · resolved market
US military action against Iran in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0264a076a3acd50925e115032eb993b51cb8b5026eb7cf79245c63f8408b3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,075,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,150,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,075,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb695…8ea1backed Yes | 8c | 196,666$15,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,534.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…471bbacked Yes | 6c | 64,500$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…4231backed Yes | 9c | 61,037$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…f72abacked Yes | 2c | 37,220$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 8c | 33,652$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…6bc0backed Yes | 8c | 30,915$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…d428backed Yes | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 8c | 13,400$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.37 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 0c | 12,750$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 8c | 10,666$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.38 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,037$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.35 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 10c | 7,545$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…97a1backed Yes | 9c | 7,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 2c | 6,121$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 6c | 5,535$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,533$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…bc21backed Yes | 9c | 5,320$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…3a52backed Yes | 10c | 4,490$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…51bcbacked Yes | 6c | 3,149$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,127$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…b8a9backed Yes | 9c | 3,117$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…5e9dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,924$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Yes | 6c | 2,769$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,601$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6369backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…a4c2backed Yes | 3c | 2,484$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…634cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,474$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 3c | 2,242$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 7c | 2,002$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,907$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2a…2f33backed Yes | 8c | 1,611$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…268bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,475$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,394$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…9612backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…283ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 8c | 1,188$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,181$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 8c | 1,138$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Yes | 10c | 1,106$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…d4d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,096$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…6e44backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…cf17backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 11c | 912.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 6c | 872.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…adc0backed Yes | 2c | 870$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 20cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…9cefbacked Yes | 8c | 810$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 756.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…721ebacked Yes | 9c | 755.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…76bbbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…4a54backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 9c | 620.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…f138backed Yes | 8c | 602.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +112%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…966ebacked Yes | 9c | 602.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +259%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…00fcbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…fa50backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…4224backed Yes | 7c | 490.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…c6e5backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…ced9backed Yes | 9c | 432.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…b7f3backed Yes | 8c | 430$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…c40fbacked Yes | 14c | 421.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes | 11c | 393.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 8c | 360$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…97b0backed Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…6ee2backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…49d2backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2f6backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…eb9cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 12c | 229.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…4411backed Yes | 10c | 227.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…03e6backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bbc1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 8c | 222$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…33bdbacked Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…e2bcbacked Yes | 6c | 208.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a6…f8f9backed Yes | 10c | 208$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.