WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079c41c5e9e700e95ca81f612899561bfe8f5adeee3114e5c7096938595fc6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Liberty, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Dream | 44c | 12,941$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.46 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Liberty | 56c | 7,974$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liberty | 36c | 7,957$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.48 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Liberty | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dream | 45c | 5,245$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…3f28backed Liberty | 50c | 3,839$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Liberty | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dream | 51c | 2,365$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dream | 55c | 1,771$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.35 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Liberty | 13c | 1,662$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Liberty | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Dream | 47c | 1,275$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.23 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Liberty | 49c | 940.47$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Dream | 41c | 825$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 62c | 769.35$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.74 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Liberty | 59c | 723$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 53c | 676.78$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Liberty | 44c | 523.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Liberty | 10c | 516.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Liberty | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Liberty | 54c | 357.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Liberty | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Liberty | 37c | 311$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Liberty | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Liberty | 53c | 229.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Liberty | 56c | 188$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Dream | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dream | 52c | 129.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dream | 44c | 128$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Liberty | 49c | 113.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Liberty | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Liberty | 54c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Liberty | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Dream | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Liberty | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Liberty | 47c | 90.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Dream | 53c | 90.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Liberty | 54c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Liberty | 57c | 51.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Dream | 54c | 49.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dream | 41c | 47.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Dream | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Liberty | 60c | 45.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Liberty | 49c | 40.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…35f5backed Liberty | 63c | 31.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Dream | 53c | 29.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 43c | 28.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Liberty | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Dream | 53c | 23.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Liberty | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.