MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce682dd5abe68a9ea4178ff1d9de5ad1d4e4476fe5cd6779e20003ee2e7dfdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof SSG Landers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.29 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed SSG Landers | 42c | 3,871$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.96 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed SSG Landers | 42c | 475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…38e5backed SSG Landers | 5c | 344$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 42c | 316.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed SSG Landers | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked KT Wiz | 69c | 280$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed KT Wiz | 54c | 277.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed SSG Landers | 42c | 259.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed SSG Landers | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 213.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed SSG Landers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 43c | 198$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed SSG Landers | 41c | 179.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 46c | 152.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 18c | 126.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked SSG Landers | 42c | 113.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed SSG Landers | 44c | 110.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed KT Wiz | 57c | 109.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked SSG Landers | 44c | 109.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed KT Wiz | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed KT Wiz | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 18c | 72.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked SSG Landers | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed SSG Landers | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 60.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed KT Wiz | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…8255backed KT Wiz | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SSG Landers | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed SSG Landers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked SSG Landers | 43c | 42.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 40.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed SSG Landers | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SSG Landers | 43c | 36.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked SSG Landers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed KT Wiz | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed SSG Landers | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5841backed SSG Landers | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed KT Wiz | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 25.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked SSG Landers | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 46c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…302ebacked KT Wiz | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.