WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72089c8c534b41cc9f9d2048edb7385a618350ddfa302756812a9c0bbd2d9418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 14c | 10,682$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.62 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 61c | 6,107$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx | 45c | 2,819$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.12 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Lynx | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lynx | 50c | 1,352$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Storm | 40c | 1,215$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Storm | 54c | 1,198$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 54c | 1,007$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.26 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lynx | 46c | 899.98$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lynx | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lynx | 45c | 631.59$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Storm | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Storm | 52c | 510.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.21 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lynx | 42c | 495.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.07 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Storm | 54c | 482.17$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 48c | 466$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Storm | 54c | 444.46$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Storm | 10c | 367.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Storm | 53c | 361.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 54c | 304.87$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lynx | 51c | 232.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lynx | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lynx | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lynx | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Lynx | 46c | 191.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Storm | 53c | 152.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Lynx | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Storm | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lynx | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Storm | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Storm | 64c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Storm | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Lynx | 46c | 45.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Lynx | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Storm | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Storm | 68c | 33.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.