MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f1a5937bd10be3810c7c965acab4cc21e464280c8675cb122e61842a13cf73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 27c | 2,891$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.93 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 2,641$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.61 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 815.47$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 672$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 554.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.68 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 469.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 461.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 403.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 400$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Kia Tigers | 29c | 349.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 34c | 301.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 245.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 170.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 167.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 165.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 148.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 141.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 128.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 126$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Doosan Bears | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 108.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 103.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 96.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Kia Tigers | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 67.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 21c | 64.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 58.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Doosan Bears | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 53.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 53.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 52.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 52.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 50.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 48.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 46.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 44.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…9101backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 32.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Doosan Bears | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 25.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 25.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 17.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.