Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SIUE Cougars vs. UTSA Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc317ca5860770c03bb8ada7232bb94a3b5d3d54be4567ef23b301df432f5547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SIUE Cougarsof SIUE Cougars, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked SIUE Cougars | 29c | 4,243$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.01 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 70c | 2,665$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.41 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed SIUE Cougars | 77c | 1,731$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 55c | 1,560$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed UTSA Roadrunners | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked SIUE Cougars | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 70c | 303$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UTSA Roadrunners | 71c | 286$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 256.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UTSA Roadrunners | 74c | 216$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 21c | 151.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed SIUE Cougars | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed UTSA Roadrunners | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.