WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8234604492b54ca53b857194f913eafaf120a8db38767c1c0817469cd24be9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sky | 20c | 19,300$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sky | 21c | 10,459$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.48 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Storm | 79c | 9,188$7,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Storm | 80c | 8,827$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sky | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 21c | 6,023$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.39 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 9c | 3,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 80c | 2,710$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.28 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sky | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Storm | 78c | 1,450$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Storm | 79c | 1,446$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sky | 12c | 1,412$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Storm | 78c | 1,408$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sky | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 20c | 975.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Sky | 22c | 789.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 80c | 623$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sky | 18c | 401.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 19c | 302.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 80c | 282.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Storm | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Sky | 7c | 205.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 14c | 182.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 80c | 172.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 24c | 135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 79c | 123.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sky | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sky | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Storm | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Storm | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…f2a7backed Storm | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Storm | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.