Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a8abeaf141e8a7dd2805f1d46ecd30e231beb2e0174ec9d010f9a9faa9c1846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 34c | 276,906$95,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,178.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 147,880$98,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,220.06 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 63c | 50,316$31,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,625.72 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 23,016$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,515.92 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 67c | 16,800$11,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 40c | 14,133$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465.87 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 63c | 8,614$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.18 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 31c | 3,690$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.58 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 65c | 1,281$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 1,154$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.34 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 68c | 1,097$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 37c | 1,082$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 61c | 546.51$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 33c | 524.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 37c | 499.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 287$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 65c | 266$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 34c | 229.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Yes | 66c | 180.18$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 65c | 167.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 66c | 164.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 58c | 145.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…ab26backed Yes | 66c | 130.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 119$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 21c | 56.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yes | 67c | 51.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 80c | 26.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 64c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.