Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2c1d975afe76c41c886d3064b87138f2fbab7d88db027b18025e861de080f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Dzumhur, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auger-Aliassime | 75c | 2,392$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dzumhur | 20c | 2,239$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.76 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Dzumhur | 21c | 1,700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dzumhur | 21c | 1,519$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Dzumhur | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Dzumhur | 15c | 1,399$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dzumhur | 19c | 1,205$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Dzumhur | 10c | 979$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dzumhur | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dzumhur | 13c | 440$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Dzumhur | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Auger-Aliassime | 76c | 317.54$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dzumhur | 24c | 268$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Dzumhur | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Dzumhur | 14c | 245$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 211.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dzumhur | 14c | 209.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Dzumhur | 18c | 207.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 206.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Dzumhur | 32c | 155.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 150.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Dzumhur | 21c | 102.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Dzumhur | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Dzumhur | 27c | 91.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Dzumhur | 22c | 87.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dzumhur | 33c | 56.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Dzumhur | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dzumhur | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.