Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738e0efd9eda0a24d60cd10bec7f3c96724976d75977012bbfdc1d962b40d3f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 3,945$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.46 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 3,541$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.53 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 47c | 1,488$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.68 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 27c | 1,363$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.19 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 500.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 31c | 423$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 420$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…a93bbacked Yes | 50c | 398.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 52c | 325.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 277$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed No | 53c | 220.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 77c | 205$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 50c | 198.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 24c | 166$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 24c | 163.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 50c | 152.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 68c | 117.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 53c | 53.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 76c | 30.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…e912backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.