Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b58b5e9bcdbbbab6db1d0da2cb250fd96db786823bf656f460fe4ce0c6e7f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 8,356$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 50c | 8,200$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 48c | 4,676$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.36 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 50c | 4,289$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.25 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 51c | 3,360$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 41c | 3,138$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.46 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 61c | 2,944$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.19 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 2,622$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 49c | 2,545$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed No | 45c | 2,221$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 47c | 1,341$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 47c | 1,327$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.35 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 53c | 1,324$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 1,213$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 48c | 1,016$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 52c | 1,002$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 51c | 920$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.86 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 53c | 833.33$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.67 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 62c | 808.61$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 54c | 707.32$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 699.88$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 49c | 567.78$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…a93bbacked Yes | 36c | 556.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 49c | 499.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yes | 51c | 329.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 50c | 312.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 47c | 222.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 218.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 204.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 53c | 112.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 52c | 57.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 48c | 57.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 52c | 57.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 50c | 55.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…4bf6backed Yes | 51c | 45.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 51c | 40.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 39c | 38.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…29c7backed Yes | 53c | 30.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…0120backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 52c | 24.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…e3b2backed Yes | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 48c | 22.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…48f7backed Yes | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.