College Football · resolved market
Mississippi State vs. Southern Mississippi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f0ee0796e654c97f7aec358e0340acd8853507ee212b77e885b05c9474f3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi Stateof Mississippi State, Southern Mississippi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Southern Mississippi | 18c | 5,266$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Southern Mississippi | 15c | 4,018$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.71 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Southern Mississippi | 19c | 3,499$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.83 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Southern Mississippi | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Southern Mississippi | 14c | 1,016$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Southern Mississippi | 19c | 842.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Southern Mississippi | 16c | 595.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Mississippi | 17c | 400.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Southern Mississippi | 17c | 297.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Southern Mississippi | 16c | 296$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mississippi State | 74c | 270$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Southern Mississippi | 30c | 252.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mississippi State | 72c | 214.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Mississippi | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Southern Mississippi | 16c | 195.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Mississippi | 15c | 111.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Southern Mississippi | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Southern Mississippi | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Southern Mississippi | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Southern Mississippi | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Southern Mississippi | 23c | 94.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Southern Mississippi | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.