NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69f18853096124e0f1afe260da83ae719ba2fdc2ea62677dcc5ecfbc2019f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Browns of Rams , Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rams | 15c | 6,029$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rams | 17c | 1,700$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rams | 12c | 1,674$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rams | 15c | 900$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rams | 11c | 858.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rams | 17c | 750.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns | 74c | 742.74$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Rams | 13c | 733$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rams | 2c | 697.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rams | 26c | 562.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Browns | 76c | 520$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rams | 8c | 437$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rams | 26c | 378.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rams | 18c | 372.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rams | 19c | 366$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rams | 28c | 352.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Rams | 12c | 319.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Browns | 80c | 312.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Rams | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rams | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rams | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Browns | 77c | 198.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Browns | 78c | 166.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Rams | 23c | 163.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Browns | 74c | 139.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Browns | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rams | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked Rams | 20c | 102.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rams | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rams | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rams | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rams | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rams | 23c | 81.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rams | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Browns | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Rams | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Rams | 33c | 40.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Browns | 78c | 37.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Browns | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Browns | 75c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.