College Football · resolved market
Southern Mississippi vs. Louisiana Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbddd3eaee53b47fae67fd7b883cab67fc1ba7c591bb9cb2ce08e73d9510219a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Techof Southern Mississippi, Louisiana Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Louisiana Tech | 59c | 1,548$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.78 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Southern Mississippi | 30c | 942.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southern Mississippi | 41c | 880$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.02 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Southern Mississippi | 40c | 650.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.31 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Louisiana Tech | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Mississippi | 41c | 550$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Louisiana Tech | 60c | 429$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Southern Mississippi | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana Tech | 62c | 202.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Louisiana Tech | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Louisiana Tech | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Southern Mississippi | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked Southern Mississippi | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Southern Mississippi | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed Louisiana Tech | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Southern Mississippi | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Southern Mississippi | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Southern Mississippi | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Southern Mississippi | 42c | 57.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Louisiana Tech | 60c | 41.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…bf71backed Southern Mississippi | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Louisiana Tech | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…195fbacked Louisiana Tech | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.