TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

Vikings vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titans of Vikings , Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a61…b560backed Vikings 15c7,285$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.386245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Vikings 36c4,081$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.313545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vikings 14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Titans 69c2,699$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2719551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Titans 64c2,373$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Vikings 34c1,275$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.441526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Vikings 37c896.29$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4613335.3%47 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Vikings 43c851.84$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.661471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Vikings 2c697.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.624311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Vikings 36c599.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21612133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vikings 20c524.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0148847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Vikings 19c497.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6231056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Titans 62c420.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.744955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Vikings 35c363.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.333844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Vikings 20c344.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.081952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Titans 65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6913453.7%72 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e4…eff6backed Vikings 12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3670%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Vikings 35c299.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9828436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Titans 59c279.12$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4414351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Vikings 36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Vikings 36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Vikings 38c261.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.293357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Vikings 36c258.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.021936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Vikings 41c252$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2211047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Titans 59c214.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8837350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Vikings 36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729633.3%32 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Titans 64c185$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Titans 78c177.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d8…8211backed Vikings 40c160.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Titans 63c152$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2410333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Vikings 36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Titans 64c134.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe929…a768backed Vikings 36c133.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcb…3b30backed Vikings 36c117.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b4…3e3cbacked Vikings 36c108.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66df…f2cebacked Vikings 36c105.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Vikings 36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Vikings 14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Titans 64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Titans 61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Vikings 38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Vikings 36c99.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9926331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb219…9f58backed Titans 65c99.94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Vikings 37c99.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.912250%61 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed11…a858backed Vikings 20c92.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.572213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…a9f8backed Titans 65c90.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Vikings 27c88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Titans 63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2b…f218backed Titans 65c79.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4628…5ea0backed Titans 66c78.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Titans 79c75.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.674170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Vikings 36c74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Titans 69c73.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Vikings 34c72.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113b…70b5backed Titans 66c69.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Vikings 36c67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1220760.9%126 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e3…fff7backed Titans 65c66.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cf…1e51backed Titans 66c62.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1078…a7aebacked Vikings 36c61.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d37…c0cfbacked Vikings 38c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c2…dccbbacked Vikings 37c58.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Vikings 36c57.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.628561.2%52 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Titans 64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8b…c94dbacked Vikings 42c52.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.252927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a5…3120backed Vikings 36c52.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Vikings 38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Vikings 37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896b…0a51backed Titans 65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e85…73d6backed Titans 64c40.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Vikings 37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.817060.6%103 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed5c…11e2backed Titans 64c36.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Vikings 36c34.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.473259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f77…3f95backed Titans 65c33.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Titans 63c33.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Vikings 41c32.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-81.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e54…5f61backed Titans 80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Vikings 36c30.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8941851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4029…f30abacked Titans 64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fef…cb54backed Titans 67c29.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58b…d5b9backed Titans 64c24.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…d9febacked Titans 65c17.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Titans 64c15.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…fbbcbacked Titans 64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.