TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves54c130,196$70,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,890.0338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins47c29,732$13,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,974.0445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Braves54c25,555$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,755.360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9948254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins47c16,920$7,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,952.438949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Marlins47c13,709$6,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,44319649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins46c12,248$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.9335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins46c11,847$5,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.1430255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins46c6,300$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8981,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins47c4,897$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.311,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Braves56c4,729$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.751,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Braves63c2,603$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.1133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Braves55c2,550$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.539456.9%224 W · 170 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Braves54c2,345$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.5899149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves53c2,141$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.0543949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins37c1,703$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.42,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins20c1,652$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.921,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Marlins46c1,567$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.7314949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Marlins47c1,547$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.0711947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marlins15c1,303$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves63c1,206$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3525551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Marlins2c1,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Marlins46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Marlins48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Marlins45c999.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins46c967$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Marlins45c880.35$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1695950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Marlins47c848.94$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39914148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves54c842$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Marlins2c752.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Marlins48c710.21$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins40c683.22$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Marlins46c652$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins45c649.98$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.651,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins46c540$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.443654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Braves55c447$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.157549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Braves54c444.5$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.479947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Braves54c399.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9940152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Braves54c396$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.161,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Marlins46c392$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3217946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Braves55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins47c349.28$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.881,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins45c334.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.741,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves69c309.31$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.469,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Marlins47c286.68$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.749745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins48c270$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Marlins45c256.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Marlins45c246$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.718748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves71c235.62$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.884,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Marlins46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins46c215.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Marlins47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Marlins47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb523…0d72backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…31d4backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x069c…ed7bbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…bb5bbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…99aabacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…b539backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e00…c26cbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c6…ce67backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…dce6backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9459…e52bbacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8be8…7066backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905050%25 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91a…5145backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…0439backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…5d65backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ce…215fbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…050cbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905151%26 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca66…c18bbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6b…122dbacked Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c6…8325backed Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…2522backed Marlins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.