MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5af44ef295ee074d44aa6d7685789f17d404d967f28b22fdb3594d508865af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 56c | 19,026$10,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,654.3 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 16,140$7,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,068.87 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 7c | 13,914$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.27 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 42c | 10,361$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 56c | 3,021$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.68 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,572$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Brewers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,434$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.01 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 59c | 2,380$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 60c | 2,239$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.32 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,197$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.71 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 2,000$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.18 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,810$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.25 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,775$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 1,599$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.05 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,565$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.13 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 34c | 1,456$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,234$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Brewers | 56c | 1,171$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 1,078$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 900$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Brewers | 28c | 853.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 772.13$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 761.89$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 697$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.29 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 33c | 600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 538.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.59 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 19c | 532.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 63c | 523$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 522.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 67c | 475.04$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.91 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Brewers | 52c | 386.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Brewers | 39c | 382.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 30c | 375.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Brewers | 38c | 367.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Brewers | 58c | 343.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 49c | 318.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed Brewers | 58c | 270.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 254.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked Brewers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Brewers | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers | 56c | 238$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…9d40backed Brewers | 57c | 227.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…0379backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Brewers | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 196.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…cdbbbacked Brewers | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers | 48c | 187.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 59c | 181$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Brewers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Brewers | 49c | 169.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 155.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…6dfabacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 142.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Diamondbacks | 71c | 141.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Brewers | 72c | 138.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 132.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…37c7backed Brewers | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Brewers | 43c | 114.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 56c | 110.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Brewers | 19c | 108.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Brewers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Brewers | 57c | 93.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Brewers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 83.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Brewers | 68c | 80.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewersthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.