NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57b51c4435bfb4ecb10a15711363077bfc8f7e560d3d4981b4a0eef2cb1b471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Penguins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Penguins | 20c | 11,946$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.38 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 11c | 7,829$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.09 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Penguins | 20c | 5,681$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 39c | 1,974$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.86 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Flyers | 61c | 1,739$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.32 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Penguins | 29c | 1,736$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 56c | 811.12$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Penguins | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 61c | 601.1$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.11 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Flyers | 51c | 578.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.43 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Penguins | 43c | 495.35$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Flyers | 59c | 493.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Penguins | 27c | 372.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Penguins | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Penguins | 44c | 335$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Penguins | 39c | 316.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…7f25backed Flyers | 64c | 286.56$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers | 57c | 264.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Penguins | 26c | 219.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Penguins | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Penguins | 33c | 181.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Penguins | 42c | 170.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 19c | 124.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Penguins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Penguins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…7f82backed Penguins | 40c | 110.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Penguins | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Flyers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 60c | 82.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…c46abacked Penguins | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…019ebacked Penguins | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…6ad0backed Flyers | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Flyers | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811b…43a4backed Penguins | 13c | 78.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…21a7backed Flyers | 61c | 77.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Penguins | 32c | 71.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 58c | 70.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…6bf3backed Penguins | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7ceabacked Flyers | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Flyers | 57c | 58.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Flyers | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…1bc4backed Penguins | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…fbddbacked Flyers | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…1462backed Flyers | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e4…64dfbacked Penguins | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…1bb1backed Flyers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…7e51backed Penguins | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…1034backed Penguins | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…2bf3backed Flyers | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 44c | 45.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…0314backed Flyers | 54c | 42.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…6dbcbacked Flyers | 50c | 41.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…f126backed Penguins | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked Flyers | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b732backed Flyers | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…24a0backed Penguins | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…b069backed Flyers | 58c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…1ca4backed Flyers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…2a7fbacked Penguins | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…06b9backed Flyers | 57c | 39.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…ec9abacked Penguins | 43c | 39.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…7da4backed Penguins | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…9b74backed Flyers | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…6160backed Penguins | 43c | 37.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…d48fbacked Flyers | 57c | 37.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 55c | 37.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…a264backed Penguins | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…c8bebacked Flyers | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…d1dabacked Penguins | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…6111backed Flyers | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5477…2274backed Penguins | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…3bd9backed Flyers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…ed0cbacked Penguins | 42c | 34.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Penguins | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…0be7backed Flyers | 57c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…25d3backed Flyers | 61c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…4128backed Penguins | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…db9cbacked Flyers | 54c | 32.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…f5dcbacked Penguins | 43c | 32.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…af6cbacked Flyers | 57c | 32.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Flyers | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Penguins | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…baacbacked Flyers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Flyers | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…894fbacked Penguins | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…b03cbacked Flyers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…9e09backed Penguins | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…7433backed Penguins | 43c | 29.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…9572backed Flyers | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…54b6backed Penguins | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…f347backed Flyers | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…0e7bbacked Penguins | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…e85abacked Penguins | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…3fd9backed Flyers | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…de5ebacked Flyers | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…2d1bbacked Penguins | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…4f70backed Penguins | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.