NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7662885ee86a833a0f65d3de003be4b423d099f74ddf277d9eda6687f25cfe80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Kraken | 45c | 7,800$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed Flames | 55c | 7,797$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…6b6bbacked Flames | 0c | 5,038$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Flames | 57c | 2,572$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.61 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 58c | 2,000$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kraken | 41c | 1,917$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.26 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kraken | 80c | 1,758$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.82 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Kraken | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Kraken | 45c | 1,332$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.53 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Flames | 59c | 1,142$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Flames | 54c | 743.58$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kraken | 42c | 714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 44c | 666.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Flames | 54c | 656.03$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 54c | 604.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 42c | 586$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kraken | 42c | 581.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.31 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kraken | 20c | 560.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.67 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Kraken | 32c | 535.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…7f25backed Flames | 57c | 502.25$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Kraken | 45c | 500.61$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.61 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Kraken | 45c | 494.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Flames | 56c | 494.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 55c | 401.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Flames | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Kraken | 49c | 330.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 50c | 325.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Kraken | 45c | 315.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Flames | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kraken | 50c | 296.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Kraken | 62c | 239.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…eadabacked Kraken | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Kraken | 44c | 227.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 54c | 211.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 44c | 205.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…318ebacked Flames | 57c | 198.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames | 55c | 180.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Flames | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kraken | 44c | 174$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Kraken | 27c | 135.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames | 56c | 134.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Kraken | 43c | 125.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Flames | 80c | 108$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 20c | 107.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…6da4backed Kraken | 46c | 106.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…2465backed Kraken | 45c | 103.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…6019backed Flames | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…2ee3backed Kraken | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0c70backed Kraken | 46c | 99.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 55c | 99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…d4eabacked Flames | 55c | 96.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…a2e0backed Flames | 55c | 96.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…0536backed Flames | 57c | 93.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Flames | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…e347backed Flames | 55c | 89.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564d…aef1backed Flames | 55c | 89.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…5519backed Kraken | 46c | 87.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…e7f4backed Flames | 55c | 87.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…7205backed Kraken | 46c | 85.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…de58backed Kraken | 46c | 83.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Flames | 72c | 80.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kraken | 44c | 69.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…b555backed Kraken | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Kraken | 42c | 54.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Flames | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…2776backed Kraken | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b553backed Flames | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Flames | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flames | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…7e37backed Kraken | 46c | 41.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…75ccbacked Flames | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…f92dbacked Kraken | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…7f52backed Kraken | 45c | 39.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…e39ebacked Flames | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…0a77backed Kraken | 46c | 39.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…7f7cbacked Flames | 54c | 39.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kraken | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…b1b2backed Kraken | 44c | 36.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa7…5284backed Flames | 56c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…6a00backed Flames | 58c | 36.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…4e7dbacked Kraken | 42c | 36.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78c…affebacked Flames | 56c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…7729backed Kraken | 44c | 36.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 52c | 36.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…78cabacked Kraken | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…5dc2backed Flames | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…3bd9backed Flames | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…a6edbacked Flames | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742b…36e5backed Flames | 55c | 35.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde11…5424backed Flames | 55c | 34.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…56bfbacked Kraken | 45c | 34.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…8f46backed Flames | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…1fbdbacked Flames | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Flames | 80c | 33.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…2054backed Kraken | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…0503backed Flames | 57c | 32.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…ffbbbacked Flames | 55c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…0f9fbacked Flames | 54c | 32.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.