NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eec075c16af5eba83fc45ba81afcc04a81f5f752b0cb7616465b38989377c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bruins | 29c | 2,322$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.76 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bruins | 25c | 2,167$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.98 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 72c | 2,001$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ducks | 76c | 1,461$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 63c | 1,430$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.07 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 38c | 1,366$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.92 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Ducks | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins | 63c | 576.33$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Bruins | 27c | 523.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 63c | 504.08$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.57 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bruins | 24c | 427.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bruins | 3c | 394$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…a3f5backed Bruins | 23c | 333$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Ducks | 77c | 333$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed Ducks | 37c | 310.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bruins | 61c | 277.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Ducks | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bruins | 27c | 276.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Bruins | 33c | 266.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 40c | 249.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…7064backed Ducks | 39c | 231.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…7c8abacked Ducks | 36c | 225.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked Ducks | 39c | 225.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…40fabacked Ducks | 37c | 217.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 53c | 208.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 63c | 195.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf805…8adbbacked Ducks | 37c | 172.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…f347backed Bruins | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Ducks | 78c | 156.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…1aefbacked Ducks | 39c | 152.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 30c | 149$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bruins | 63c | 141$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Bruins | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Ducks | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Bruins | 54c | 125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…3d48backed Bruins | 65c | 109.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Bruins | 64c | 99.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 35c | 98.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 36c | 98.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…a7e3backed Bruins | 65c | 97.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…38a7backed Ducks | 37c | 92.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Bruins | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Bruins | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…2776backed Ducks | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…c60dbacked Bruins | 65c | 54.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Bruins | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5330backed Bruins | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…d88cbacked Ducks | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…be95backed Ducks | 36c | 48.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Bruins | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…3a0dbacked Bruins | 66c | 45.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Ducks | 77c | 45.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…9526backed Bruins | 65c | 40.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Bruins | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…9bd2backed Bruins | 65c | 39.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a8…04e0backed Ducks | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Bruins | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…2f47backed Bruins | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a5d5backed Bruins | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…a245backed Ducks | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…86a4backed Ducks | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Ducks | 70c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Ducks | 76c | 24.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…453dbacked Bruins | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Bruins | 54c | 22.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c1f5backed Bruins | 65c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b8bebacked Bruins | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…5e70backed Bruins | 66c | 18.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…4884backed Bruins | 65c | 17.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…e28dbacked Bruins | 65c | 17.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Ducks | 76c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.