Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic win on 2025-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x182ecd7e8863e1c6e7f7f3deea27fd68bdd4bd117b5efcea013449a9b1bd9cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 5c | 31,127$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.34 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 7c | 14,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 5c | 9,615$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 6c | 7,276$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 7,115$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.22 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 12c | 7,085$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.54 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 64c | 6,572$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.74 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 5c | 6,130$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.17 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 33c | 6,062$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.42 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 5c | 3,715$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 35c | 2,960$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 38c | 2,891$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 77c | 2,091$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 8c | 2,001$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 7c | 1,719$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,611$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 1,270$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 7c | 1,126$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…1493backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 80c | 710$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 43c | 703.26$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 76c | 648.16$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…29eebacked Yes | 5c | 631.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 9c | 624.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +583.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 6c | 562.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 7c | 546.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 6c | 537.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 494.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 5c | 485$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 16c | 390$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 5c | 363.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 24c | 277$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 7c | 270.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 253.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 48c | 208.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 6c | 201.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 31c | 185.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 55c | 177.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2e92backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 7c | 155.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Yes | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed No | 62c | 48.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 62c | 30.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 26.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…12c3backed Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 75cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic win on 2025-02-18?this page
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.