NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd969fe24b1b3185adb897ef545289c9720341993744a99d1b157f0e578f17731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Stars, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Stars | 23c | 5,142$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.36 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.96 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 68c | 2,508$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.3 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 79c | 2,045$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.38 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Ducks | 70c | 1,973$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 36c | 1,840$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 68c | 893.9$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.85 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Stars | 29c | 827.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Ducks | 46c | 742$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.1 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Ducks | 67c | 741.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Ducks | 32c | 642$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Stars | 27c | 625$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Stars | 69c | 582.87$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Ducks | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Stars | 68c | 441.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Ducks | 75c | 422.73$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 30c | 410.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stars | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Stars | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 31c | 395.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 67c | 378.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Stars | 48c | 315$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Ducks | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Stars | 17c | 303.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 59c | 253.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Stars | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Ducks | 72c | 221.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 68c | 213.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Stars | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 47c | 199.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars | 12c | 185.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 34c | 173.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 32c | 159.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Ducks | 33c | 152.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Ducks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Stars | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 32c | 137.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Stars | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Stars | 70c | 115$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Ducks | 40c | 112.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…c56cbacked Ducks | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 68c | 107$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 67c | 106.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Stars | 35c | 100.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Stars | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Stars | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Ducks | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Ducks | 66c | 96.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…4852backed Stars | 34c | 96.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Ducks | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Stars | 70c | 82.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Ducks | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…05cebacked Stars | 68c | 79.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…bfcdbacked Ducks | 32c | 75.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Stars | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1841backed Stars | 68c | 72.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Stars | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…25d3backed Stars | 69c | 68.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 33c | 68.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Stars | 68c | 52.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed Stars | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…a006backed Ducks | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Ducks | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Ducks | 59c | 39.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…1d98backed Stars | 68c | 39.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…2229backed Ducks | 33c | 34.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…0a77backed Stars | 67c | 32.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…decfbacked Stars | 66c | 31.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…4be2backed Ducks | 33c | 31.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…7076backed Ducks | 33c | 31.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…947ebacked Stars | 67c | 31.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…25adbacked Stars | 69c | 30.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…0c79backed Stars | 67c | 30.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…86a4backed Stars | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Stars | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…2389backed Stars | 68c | 26.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e9…da4cbacked Stars | 67c | 23.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Stars | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Stars | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…1163backed Stars | 67c | 20.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…281fbacked Stars | 67c | 17.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6871backed Stars | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.