Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. San Diego State Aztecs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa29f341dc515c551ea5e11bfe6ec61bfbe42cb4db66b9736760ca4035f66df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof Utah Valley Wolverines, San Diego State Aztecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 4c | 17,745$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.35 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 15c | 2,209$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 7c | 2,123$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 1,843$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 8c | 1,798$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 18c | 1,566$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 9c | 1,509$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 22c | 1,486$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.93 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 9c | 1,410$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 18c | 1,320$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a4…f479backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 1c | 1,070$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 13c | 1,052$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 18c | 940.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 28c | 715.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 8c | 640.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 18c | 636.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 19c | 414.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…a9d9backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 21c | 409.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 6c | 348$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 8c | 312.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 10c | 293$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 9c | 283.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 15c | 126.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…ed91backed San Diego State Aztecs | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…5899backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed San Diego State Aztecs | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed San Diego State Aztecs | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…b922backed San Diego State Aztecs | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.