WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb01bf3faa410ac75b61e77628d1eea9ac8e435d94e7f8ddb1085956e974cfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingsof Dream, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 23c | 5,493$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.97 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 21c | 4,002$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.58 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 22c | 3,050$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Dream | 79c | 2,481$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Dream | 79c | 2,107$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dream | 77c | 1,845$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.68 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 79c | 1,357$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.79 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dream | 26c | 1,108$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Wings | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 66c | 937$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.14 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dream | 76c | 883$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.58 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wings | 22c | 797$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.85 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dream | 68c | 604.43$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Dream | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 15c | 595.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dream | 70c | 403.45$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wings | 25c | 195.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…0b39backed Dream | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dream | 64c | 139$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Dream | 58c | 131.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Dream | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Wings | 21c | 99.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Dream | 58c | 92.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Wings | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wings | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dream | 57c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Dream | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Wings | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wings | 21c | 51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Dream | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wings | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…5434backed Dream | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.