NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823e80e2319897d0495ef6e4b5d2cb26dbb4f1dfc689d45386dc50798f75a4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Rockets | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Clippers | 63c | 1,038$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.58 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Clippers | 73c | 964.7$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Rockets | 18c | 825$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 52c | 499.93$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 3c | 420$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Clippers | 55c | 348.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 22c | 253.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Clippers | 78c | 253.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockets | 32c | 233.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 23c | 215$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 48c | 208.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Rockets | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockets | 9c | 176$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Rockets | 47c | 134.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Rockets | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Clippers | 50c | 115.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Clippers | 70c | 106.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockets | 46c | 99.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockets | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 62c | 89.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rockets | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Rockets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Rockets | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Clippers | 49c | 38.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Clippers | 53c | 36.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Clippers | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…f524backed Rockets | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Rockets | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Clippers | 56c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…0164backed Rockets | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.