WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2fbfef7a9c78ad57891dc23d6b1a8c71315bb3fbef683d67bd92852fc9a6a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Lynx, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sky | 72c | 8,722$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.42 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 17c | 4,109$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.91 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Sky | 32c | 2,467$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lynx | 57c | 2,007$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.27 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sky | 17c | 1,250$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.5 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lynx | 67c | 1,020$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.61 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 44c | 963$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.96 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lynx | 77c | 871.07$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.97 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 28c | 700$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sky | 67c | 651.54$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Sky | 71c | 577.41$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 18c | 549.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.07 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 22c | 468$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sky | 18c | 334.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sky | 70c | 301.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lynx | 39c | 255.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Lynx | 55c | 217.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 18c | 169.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 16c | 137.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lynx | 56c | 112.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Sky | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Lynx | 41c | 96.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sky | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Lynx | 48c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Sky | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sky | 72c | 58.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sky | 25c | 47.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Sky | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…9719backed Sky | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.