MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca02dd1d27227efe1f71a394ba883ada3552dacb330722c76140dbf42b5b64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Yankees, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yankees | 53c | 5,070$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.97 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Reds | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 19c | 4,102$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Reds | 75c | 3,690$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.78 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 48c | 3,093$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.1 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 49c | 3,078$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 54c | 3,049$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.98 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 26c | 2,885$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.79 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 20c | 2,495$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Yankees | 61c | 2,485$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.27 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 39c | 2,321$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.75 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 63c | 2,147$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.07 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…74e0backed Reds | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yankees | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 54c | 1,990$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.6 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yankees | 15c | 1,853$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Reds | 47c | 1,698$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.94 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 37c | 1,525$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 46c | 1,393$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.31 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 46c | 1,344$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.26 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 51c | 1,323$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 68c | 1,277$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.66 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 68c | 1,265$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.46 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yankees | 63c | 1,079$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.51 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 37c | 1,078$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.6 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 47c | 1,055$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.36 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…cde3backed Yankees | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yankees | 39c | 1,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 46c | 999.95$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Yankees | 54c | 963$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees | 10c | 934.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Yankees | 53c | 862.03$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Yankees | 63c | 850$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 2c | 760.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Reds | 70c | 710.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yankees | 26c | 685.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Reds | 47c | 648.77$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.85 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Reds | 46c | 633.54$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.11 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yankees | 54c | 599.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 46c | 492.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Yankees | 53c | 470.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Yankees | 55c | 456.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 52c | 441.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Reds | 48c | 419.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8fffbacked Yankees | 31c | 405.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yankees | 3c | 377.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Yankees | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Reds | 54c | 355.24$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 53c | 340.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Yankees | 40c | 319.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yankees | 29c | 310.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yankees | 53c | 299.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Yankees | 23c | 293.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 26c | 254$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Yankees | 63c | 252.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 42c | 220.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…9736backed Yankees | 54c | 214.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…edf3backed Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yankees | 54c | 208.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Reds | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 46c | 187.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Reds | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…2ef7backed Yankees | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…e2d8backed Yankees | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Yankees | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Reds | 47c | 143.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 45c | 143.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Yankees | 55c | 125.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yankees | 28c | 125.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yankees | 53c | 119.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Reds | 46c | 116.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 54c | 115.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Reds | 47c | 113.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yankees | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 10c | 110.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 41c | 110.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Reds | 47c | 109.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Reds | 46c | 106.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Reds | 48c | 103.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Yankees | 54c | 101.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Yankees | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yankees | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Reds | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yankees | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…8468backed Yankees | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.