WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3232b271deae5a70e6d0aff7faae8a6a34383055e1f7213e8c84efc762dca9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Mystics, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 61c | 28,816$17,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,366.24 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 40c | 15,748$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.71 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Sky | 40c | 7,380$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sky | 34c | 4,449$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sky | 36c | 4,087$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.65 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 45c | 2,535$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.75 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sky | 36c | 2,000$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sky | 39c | 1,966$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.29 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sky | 34c | 1,728$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sky | 39c | 1,600$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.62 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 65c | 1,391$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.17 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sky | 48c | 943.79$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.41 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Sky | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mystics | 63c | 656.03$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 35c | 500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Mystics | 63c | 475.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Sky | 44c | 452.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Sky | 32c | 450$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sky | 37c | 422$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Sky | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sky | 41c | 353.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sky | 36c | 332$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mystics | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 79c | 276$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sky | 60c | 233.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mystics | 52c | 226.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Sky | 35c | 166.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Sky | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sky | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Sky | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Sky | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sky | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Sky | 42c | 73.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Sky | 80c | 72.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mystics | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sky | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Mystics | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Mystics | 64c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 38c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Mystics | 35c | 42.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Sky | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sky | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Sky | 37c | 36.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Mystics | 64c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Mystics | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.