WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb830ef742e3ce518912b105d8b362681dc6377662ae0238267e41c409651a3f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Valkyries, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Aces | 68c | 9,641$6,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.31 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Valkyries | 24c | 5,058$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Valkyries | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 44c | 4,048$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.57 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Aces | 59c | 3,644$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 39c | 3,160$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.62 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 58c | 2,429$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.52 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Aces | 55c | 2,143$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 43c | 2,050$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Valkyries | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Aces | 71c | 1,453$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 2c | 1,317$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Aces | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 50c | 1,032$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.21 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Valkyries | 44c | 771.36$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 45c | 735.42$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.94 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Aces | 50c | 601$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Aces | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Aces | 63c | 574.38$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Valkyries | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aces | 50c | 473$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Valkyries | 41c | 463.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Aces | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Valkyries | 46c | 401.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 25c | 257.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Aces | 78c | 255.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aces | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Valkyries | 42c | 116.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Valkyries | 38c | 115.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Valkyries | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Aces | 64c | 93.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Valkyries | 14c | 93.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Valkyries | 39c | 76.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 43c | 46.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Aces | 61c | 36.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Aces | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Valkyries | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Aces | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Aces | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Aces | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.